Beracha and Johnson Housing Market Ranking
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A major goal of the FAU Real Estate Initiative is to provide information that will allow for more informed real estate decision making. To that end, we have developed a ranking of the top 100 housing markets around the country and will provide it monthly as the Beracha and Johnson Housing Market Ranking.
Each month, we will rank the top 100 markets based on their degree of overpricing/underpricing using open source housing price indices (HPIs). A positive score represents a premium, implying that the average property in a metro is selling above its historical implied price. A negative score represents a discount, implying that the average property in a metro is selling below its historical implied price. The degree/amount of a premium or discount is also provided in terms of a percentage difference between current prices for a market and where prices should be based on our modeling. Positive scores represent a premium and negative scores represent a discount.
The Beracha and Johnson Housing Market Ranking is an extension of Case-Shiller and other readily available housing prices indices. HPIs provide a methodology to calculate what the average property price is within a given market at a given time. This enables an understanding of the level of current housing prices and the ability to estimate property appreciation. However, HPIs do not provide the degree to which the average property in a particular housing market is selling above or below its implied prices. The Beracha and Johnson Housing Market Ranking produces this calculation and in doing so provides additional information beyond Case-Shiller and other HPIs.
It is hoped that knowing the premium or discount for which housing is selling, on average, in a given top 100 metro will enable more informed decision making by buyers, sellers, real estate professionals, and policy makers within that market.
2021 Press Releases
With the COVID-19 pandemic fueling a surge in home prices, Lakeland and Tampa Bay are the most exposed of nine Florida markets, according to a new analysis from professors at Florida Atlantic University and Florida International University.
Phoenix, Las Vegas and Stockton, California – three metropolitan areas hit hard by the nation’s housing collapse more than a decade ago – now rank among the 10 most overvalued of the nation’s largest housing markets, according to a new analysis by professors at Florida Atlantic University and Florida International University.