Waller, Weeks and Johnson Rental Index

 

 

Recently, rental rates across the United States have soared to record highs. While rent increases have cooled in many parts of the country, the high cost of rent remains top of mind for many Americans. To help demonstrate the evolving rental markets around the country, the interactive tools on this page track rental markets from among the nation’s largest metropolitan areas. Past leasing data from Zillow's Observed Rent Index (ZORI) is used to statistically model the rental trend for each measured metro. The data shows where rents should be (based on a history of rents) compared with actual, current rents. This premium or discount is defined as the percentage difference between statistically modeled rent prices and actual rental prices for a given metropolitan area. Actual average rent, statistically predicted rent, month-over-month (M-O-M) change in rent, and year-over-year (Y-O-Y) change in rent for each metro are provided as well.

While rents seem to be moderating, the high cost of rent brings into play the question of affordable housing. To provide readers with a feel for how affordable a rental market is, we add a column for “House Poor.” We define “house poor” as dedicating 30% or more of a household’s annual income to rent. This measure is similar to HUD’s definition of Rent Burdened but exclusive of utilities. Households falling into this category, similar to Rent Burdened, could encounter difficulty developing savings and may have trouble paying for such items as food, clothing, transportation, and medical care.

The House Poor column displays the minimum annual household income needed in each measured market to avoid being defined as “house poor." Annual household incomes below the displayed amount for a given metro are “house poor” while annual incomes at and above the displayed amount are not “house poor.” This is a clear housing affordability measure allowing households in measured metros to determine their individual status.

This ongoing, monthly reported project is co-produced by the Florida Atlantic University Real Estate Initiative, Florida Gulf Coast University's Lucas Institute for Real Estate Development & Finance, and the Alabama Center of Real Estate at the University of Alabama.

Note: To sort the rankings by premium/discount or year-over-year rental change, click on the arrows to the right of the appropriate column.


May 2024 Data

National:

No. Country Premium/Discount Average Rent Where Average Rent Should Be Month Over
Month Change
Year Over
Year Change
House Poor
N/A United States 2.61% $2,036.15 $1,984.33 0.58% 3.40% $81,446

 


Metros:

No. City Premium/Discount Average Rent Where Average Rent Should Be Month Over
Month Change
Year Over
Year Change
House Poor
1 New York, NY 6.69% $3,362.96 $3,152.08 1.00% 3.89% $134,519
2 Los Angeles, CA 0.75% $2,941.92 $2,920.17 0.50% 2.52% $117,677
3 Chicago, IL 6.20% $2,109.67 $1,986.43 0.92% 5.08% $84,387
4 Dallas, TX -0.86% $1,811.36 $1,827.10 0.50% 0.15% $72,455
5 Houston, TX 2.45% $1,721.61 $1,680.44 0.63% 2.09% $68,864
6 Washington, DC 4.66% $2,401.83 $2,294.88 0.71% 4.83% $96,073
7 Philadelphia, PA 2.32% $1,890.60 $1,847.75 0.34% 3.71% $75,624
8 Miami, FL 3.88% $2,806.00 $2,701.08 0.12% 2.57% $112,240
9 Atlanta, GA -1.93% $1,947.12 $1,985.40 0.31% 0.42% $77,885
10 Boston, MA 5.76% $3,120.15 $2,950.23 0.62% 4.85% $124,806
11 Phoenix, AZ -2.89% $1,894.72 $1,951.18 0.25% 0.98% $75,789
12 San Francisco, CA 0.08% $3,091.82 $3,089.30 0.69% 1.20% $123,673
13 Riverside, CA 0.05% $2,555.35 $2,554.09 0.44% 2.78% $102,214
14 Detroit, MI 2.43% $1,460.71 $1,426.11 0.93% 5.15% $58,428
15 Seattle, WA 0.81% $2,249.67 $2,231.51 0.90% 3.68% $89,987
16 Minneapolis, MN 0.33% $1,676.36 $1,670.78 0.47% 3.08% $67,055
17 San Diego, CA 1.97% $3,040.71 $2,981.84 0.55% 1.98% $121,628
18 Tampa, FL 0.60% $2,122.44 $2,109.85 -0.04% 1.43% $84,898
19 Denver, CO 1.66% $2,074.09 $2,040.17 0.83% 2.60% $82,964
20 Baltimore, MD 3.26% $1,847.09 $1,788.81 0.88% 3.18% $73,883
21 St. Louis, MO 4.94% $1,420.32 $1,353.51 0.71% 4.98% $56,813
22 Orlando, FL 0.56% $2,075.63 $2,063.99 0.56% 0.90% $83,025
23 Charlotte, NC 0.02% $1,798.79 $1,798.48 0.19% 0.94% $71,952
24 San Antonio, TX -0.68% $1,500.65 $1,510.93 0.38% -0.39% $60,026
25 Portland, OR 0.22% $1,847.23 $1,843.21 0.91% 1.57% $73,889
26 Sacramento, CA -1.29% $2,313.68 $2,343.89 0.61% 3.56% $92,547
27 Pittsburgh, PA 2.81% $1,460.00 $1,420.08 0.61% 3.95% $58,400
28 Cincinnati, OH 3.97% $1,525.67 $1,467.47 0.66% 5.14% $61,027
29 Austin, TX -3.06% $1,827.29 $1,884.99 0.47% -3.23% $73,092
30 Las Vegas, NV -1.52% $1,827.60 $1,855.79 1.14% 2.66% $73,104
31 Kansas City, MO 4.26% $1,482.36 $1,421.82 0.84% 5.48% $59,294
32 Columbus, OH 2.65% $1,542.76 $1,502.88 0.70% 4.13% $61,710
34 Indianapolis, IN 3.43% $1,586.13 $1,533.51 0.58% 4.39% $63,445
35 Cleveland, OH 4.88% $1,420.74 $1,354.65 0.31% 6.26% $56,830
36 San Jose, CA 2.40% $3,360.25 $3,281.64 0.88% 2.35% $134,410
37 Nashville, TN 0.34% $1,933.47 $1,926.98 0.69% 0.72% $77,339
38 Virginia Beach, VA 4.74% $1,735.05 $1,656.50 0.91% 5.11% $69,402
39 Providence, RI 5.72% $2,073.32 $1,961.05 0.84% 7.10% $82,933
40 Jacksonville, FL -0.20% $1,766.38 $1,769.84 0.31% 0.81% $70,655
41 Milwaukee, WI 4.93% $1,388.03 $1,322.85 1.01% 5.43% $55,521
42 Oklahoma City, OK 2.23% $1,334.91 $1,305.86 0.17% 2.71% $53,397
43 Raleigh, NC 0.23% $1,773.93 $1,769.79 0.43% 0.33% $70,957
44 Memphis, TN 1.55% $1,464.79 $1,442.47 0.44% 2.42% $58,592
45 Richmond, VA 3.24% $1,655.82 $1,603.79 0.67% 4.78% $66,233
46 Louisville, KY 5.42% $1,417.16 $1,344.34 0.12% 6.38% $56,686
47 New Orleans, LA 2.18% $1,678.01 $1,642.26 0.04% 2.69% $67,120
48 Salt Lake City, UT -0.65% $1,719.09 $1,730.32 0.50% 1.62% $68,764
49 Hartford, CT 7.56% $1,845.83 $1,716.03 1.34% 6.99% $73,833
50 Buffalo, NY 4.04% $1,375.37 $1,321.98 0.35% 5.98% $55,015
51 Birmingham, AL 2.20% $1,432.17 $1,401.29 -0.35% 2.94% $57,287
52 Rochester, NY 4.68% $1,530.87 $1,462.37 0.19% 5.24% $61,235
53 Grand Rapids, MI 2.89% $1,591.50 $1,546.78 0.94% 5.50% $63,660
54 Tucson, AZ 0.27% $1,631.73 $1,627.42 0.16% 2.86% $65,269
55 Urban Honolulu, HI 3.62% $2,781.90 $2,684.78 0.52% 3.12% $111,276
56 Tulsa, OK 4.68% $1,359.11 $1,298.36 0.60% 5.41% $54,364
57 Fresno, CA 1.84% $1,926.40 $1,891.62 1.02% 4.85% $77,056
58 Worcester, MA 5.80% $2,106.30 $1,990.73 1.26% 7.49% $84,252
59 Omaha, NE 4.21% $1,360.25 $1,305.31 0.84% 3.80% $54,410
60 Bridgeport, CT 4.56% $2,892.09 $2,765.91 0.81% 5.43% $115,683
61 Greenville, SC 2.71% $1,600.85 $1,558.68 1.03% 4.20% $64,034
62 Albuquerque, NM 3.55% $1,581.99 $1,527.75 0.48% 3.68% $63,280
63 Bakersfield, CA 3.58% $1,813.20 $1,750.48 0.48% 4.76% $72,528
64 Albany, NY 4.38% $1,591.64 $1,524.88 0.80% 5.77% $63,666
65 Knoxville, TN 5.17% $1,793.45 $1,705.25 0.68% 5.40% $71,738
66 Baton Rouge, LA 2.25% $1,371.76 $1,341.63 1.13% 2.07% $54,870
67 McAllen, TX 3.13% $1,184.66 $1,148.66 0.71% 2.22% $47,386
68 New Haven, CT 7.69% $2,116.65 $1,965.46 0.76% 9.01% $84,666
69 El Paso, TX 5.20% $1,546.60 $1,470.19 -0.02% 3.59% $61,864
70 Allentown, PA 2.34% $1,780.66 $1,739.98 0.88% 3.42% $71,226
71 Oxnard, CA 1.86% $3,011.29 $2,956.20 0.32% 4.12% $120,452
72 Columbia, SC 4.49% $1,536.81 $1,470.78 0.67% 4.91% $61,473
73 North Port, FL 0.49% $2,399.65 $2,387.88 0.01% 0.25% $95,986
74 Dayton, OH 4.45% $1,356.87 $1,299.10 0.71% 6.34% $54,275
75 Charleston, SC 4.81% $2,075.67 $1,980.42 0.38% 3.69% $83,027
76 Greensboro, NC 4.61% $1,450.83 $1,386.95 1.21% 5.34% $58,033
77 Stockton, CA -1.22% $2,406.78 $2,436.50 0.30% 3.99% $96,271
78 Cape Coral, FL -0.20% $2,169.44 $2,173.73 -0.24% -2.35% $86,777
79 Boise City, ID -2.37% $1,850.69 $1,895.68 1.04% 1.82% $74,028
80 Colorado Springs, CO -1.39% $1,880.67 $1,907.22 0.66% 1.88% $75,227
81 Little Rock, AR 4.60% $1,236.23 $1,181.88 0.54% 5.17% $49,449
82 Lakeland, FL 0.61% $1,934.73 $1,922.92 0.16% 2.27% $77,389
83 Akron, OH 5.32% $1,226.43 $1,164.43 0.71% 5.25% $49,057
84 Des Moines, IA 3.34% $1,270.69 $1,229.63 0.26% 3.21% $50,828
85 Springfield, MA 6.35% $1,812.98 $1,704.67 0.64% 7.06% $72,519
86 Poughkeepsie, NY 2.57% $2,166.91 $2,112.70 0.93% 4.27% $86,676
87 Ogden, UT 0.41% $1,729.86 $1,722.79 1.70% 2.31% $69,194
88 Madison, WI 6.21% $1,615.09 $1,520.71 0.14% 5.10% $64,604
89 Winston, NC 2.38% $1,590.17 $1,553.18 0.67% 3.19% $63,607
90 Deltona, FL 0.90% $1,929.85 $1,912.60 0.77% 1.67% $77,194
91 Syracuse, NY 5.31% $1,555.41 $1,476.92 0.71% 6.23% $62,216
92 Provo, UT 0.91% $1,799.36 $1,783.19 0.83% 3.12% $71,974
93 Toledo, OH 4.57% $1,220.04 $1,166.71 0.89% 5.81% $48,802
94 Wichita, KS 5.99% $1,097.18 $1,035.21 0.46% 4.87% $43,887
95 Durham, NC 0.92% $1,777.59 $1,761.37 -0.08% 1.55% $71,103
96 Augusta, GA 2.58% $1,435.81 $1,399.73 0.33% 3.28% $57,432
97 Palm Bay, FL -0.63% $1,998.06 $2,010.78 -0.02% 0.78% $79,922
98 Jackson, MS 5.26% $1,408.71 $1,338.36 1.52% 4.71% $56,348
99 Harrisburg, PA 2.27% $1,417.84 $1,386.40 0.81% 3.05% $56,714
100 Spokane, WA -2.72% $1,517.44 $1,559.94 0.41% 1.68% $60,698

 

See also the Top 100 U.S. Housing Markets for Over and Underpricing. The methodology employed by Waller, Weeks, and Johnson is pulled from the methodology of the Top 100 U.S. Housing Markets with the exception for past rents versus past home prices.

 

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